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Oct 22 2019

The 2019-2020 NBA Lightweight Report

The Networks United will not be waiting until Halloween to get the Lightweight Report out for once! The tenth season of this tragically underused site gets some NBA material finally, the first item from the top basketball league in the world since I tried to tell you all how the 2019 NBA Finals would end.

A lot has changed since those fateful spring days in the NBA; there are a lot more “duos” now, hence The Cars at the top of the file here. But it is still a five-on-five game, and the Lightweight Report is here to drop tasteful takes that will have to hold up for the entire season, because I’m not about changing things up after I make initial predictions:

NBA previewing does not require as much science.  The NFL schedule is a significant variable in a team’s success.  Everyone plays everyone in the NBA, so the best teams win.  Alas, there’s the caveat with the “team” parts of things.  In the NFL, teams (and their coaching staffs) are pretty much set for the season.  In the NBA, things change constantly:  Stars get traded, injuries and transactions can completely remake a team, and coaches and even general managers can lose their job with as little as a bad 16-game streak.  Nobody is safe in the NBA!

Every NBA Lightweight Report ever

I will be around throughout the NBA season to lay out how each team is progressing after 16, 32, 48, 64 and 82 games. Here are the expected dates for these reports:

  1. START (November 27)
  2. OLD YEAR (January 3)
  3. ALL-STAR BREAK/MIDSEASON (February 1)
  4. POST-TRADE DEADLINE (March 13)
  5. END (April 15)

For this Lightweight Report, we’re going back to the basics. I’ll share the grades for every team, by division. (Check the footnote here for the explainer!) 1

As for the individual teams! I have ranked them by Conference standing, and I will link out to the rotation chart that I spent the preseason threading together. Each team’s “lightweight report” will look like this:

I believe that is plenty for an intro. I can be found @LawMurrayTheNU – all views are my own, obviously. 

2019-2020 NBA Lightweight Report
The 2019-2020 NBA Lightweight Report, presented by #TheNU
Eastern Conference
ATLANTICCENTRALSOUTHEAST
Boston (2nd E)Milwaukee (1st E)Orlando (6th E)
Philadelphia (3rd E)Indiana (4th E)Miami (7th E)
Toronto (5th E)Detroit (9th E)Atlanta (10th E)
Brooklyn (8th E)Chicago (13th E)Washington (11th E)
New York (12th E)Cleveland (15th E)Charlotte (14th E)
EAST QUARTERSEAST SEMISEAST FINALS
MIL over BRK
MIA over BOSMIL over TOR
ORL over PHIMIA over ORL
TOR over IND
MIL over MIA
Western Conference
NORTHWESTPACIFICSOUTHWEST
Utah (1st W)LA (2nd W)Houston (5th W)
Denver (4th W)Los Angeles (3rd W)San Antonio (6th W)
Portland (7th W)Sacramento (8th W)New Orleans (9th W)
Minnesota (10th W)Golden State (12th W)Dallas (11th W)
Oklahoma City (12th W)Phoenix (15th W)Memphis (14th W)
WEST QUARTERSWEST SEMISWEST FINALS
UTA over SAC
LAC over PORHOU over UTA
LAL over SALAL over LAC
HOU over DEN
LAL over HOU

ROY: MEM PG Ja Morant

6MOY: SAC SG Bojan Bogdanovic

COY: UTA HC Quin Snyder

MIP: WAS C Thomas Bryant

DPOY: ORL SF Jonathan Isaac

MVP: LAL PF Anthony Davis

NBA Finals: MILWAUKEE BUCKS over LOS ANGELES LAKERS in 7

Show 1 footnote
  1. For offense, I use “perimeter offense”, “interior offense”, and “control”:

    • Perimeter offense is heavily influenced by perimeter personnel’s ability to drive, draw fouls, and score, as well as the depth and effectiveness of all distance shooters.
    • Interior offense is reserved for post personnel scoring and offensive rebounding.
    • Control refers to the ability of a team’s collective passing and ability to limit turnovers, not limited to just point guard play.

    For defense, I use “pressure”, “interior defense”, and “perimeter defense”.

    • Pressure is the team’s ability to force steals and other turnovers.
    • Interior defense refers to the ability of a team’s ability to not only block shots and rebound, but to contain effective bigs before the shot while protecting the rim without fouling.
    • Perimeter defense refers to the ability of a team to defend shooters and penetrators consistently, not simply in the act of gambling.

    As introduced in last year’s Lightweight Report: “basketball special teams”, highly influenced by football special teams. I feel it is a good way to evaluate free throw shooting, which is NOT the ability to draw fouls but simply the ability to make free throws (kicking game), fast break (return units), transition defense (coverage), pace (tempo), and depth (personnel). Just like special teams is a factor in football, but not to the level of the offense and defense, special teams in basketball is a factor even though it is not as critical as half-court effectiveness on both ends. I don’t grade coaching and intangibles, but they figure into any head-to-head evaluation.

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